Democrats have a plan to reopen the government. Now it comes down to Republicans.

Democrats have a plan to reopen the government. Now it comes down to Republicans.

It’s day 12 of a partial government shutdown — and lawmakers are still at an impasse.

It’s officially day 12 of the partial government shutdown and there’s still no clear end in sight.

Democrats, who retake House control on Thursday, have laid out their plans for reopening the government, but Republicans seem caught up, yet again, in what President Trump will do. And right now, he doesn’t seem particularly keen on compromising.

Trump and congressional leaders are set to meet on Wednesday afternoon, though it’s highly uncertain whether they could actually reach a deal or if things will simply blow up again like they did in his meeting with Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi in December.

Meanwhile, both sides have continued to dig in, leaving plenty of space for the shutdown to go well into January.

Democrats have offered absolutely no inclination that they would cave on wall funding — even for a compromise involving protections for undocumented immigrations who are part of the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program. And Trump appears no closer to accepting Democrats’ proposals for maintaining $1.3 billion in border security funding.

As things stand, Democrats and Republicans are at an impasse that doesn’t have an obvious path forward until someone blinks.

Democrats have proposed a plan — but Republican buy-in is up in the air

House Democrats are planning to pass two measures intended to reopen the government on Thursday.

The first of these is a package of six bills that funds parts of the government that are not particularly controversial, including the departments of Treasury, State, and Justice. This measure would keep these agencies funded through the 2019 fiscal year, which ends in September.

The second bill would provide short-term funding for the more contentious Department of Homeland Security through February 8, separating the conflict over the border wall from the other outstanding government funding bills and kicking this fight a bit further down the road. This stopgap bill would maintain funding for DHS at current levels, which includes $1.3 billion for border security.

By announcing their plans to reopen the government, Democrats have effectively laid down the gauntlet for Republicans, who must now decide if they are willing to consider these options — or if they will continue to hold the party line even as they receive external pressure to cave.

Democrats increasingly have an upper hand in these negotiations since they can force through a vote on measures that the previous Republican House refused to consider. In the Senate as well, Trump will need Democratic buy-in, since any funding measure would require 60 votes to pass.

Democrats also note that Senate Republicans were previously on board with passing a short-term bill to cover DHS and argue that it would be baffling if they didn’t continue to do so. Before House Republicans persuaded Trump to renege in December, the Senate had overwhelmingly passed a funding bill to provide agencies with short-term funding. The Senate needs to re-pass any funding bills now that a new Congress is in session.

“It would be the height of irresponsibility and political cynicism for Senate Republicans to now reject the same legislation they have already supported,” Pelosi and Schumer said in a statement earlier this week.

Trump, however, has already slammed Democrats’ new proposal — making it seem unlikely that congressional Republicans will get on board.

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has not said whether he’ll even put Democrats’ proposal on the floor after the House approves it. A spokesperson for his office did emphasize, however, that the Senate wouldn’t send anything to the president that he wouldn’t sign.

Trump doesn’t seem like he wants to cave

Republicans’ hesitation can largely be chalked up to Trump, who has only dialed up his calls for wall money in recent days.

On Wednesday afternoon, Trump is due to meet with congressional leaders on both sides of the aisle and has invited Republican leaders like McConnell and incoming House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy as well as Schumer and Pelosi. Their meeting is expected to consist of a briefing on homeland security, though it’s unclear what will actually come from it.

The gathering is significant because it’s the first to mark any kind of major talks between the two sides since late December. If it’s anything like a previous meeting between Trump, Schumer, and Pelosi, however, it has the potential to devolve into a glorified shouting match. And as the Washington Post’s Seung Min Kim tweeted, it may not wind up being much of a meeting at all — the gathering is expected to focus less on negotiations and more on a briefing Trump is intent on holding about his take on border security.

Now that Democrats have stated their position, it remains to be seen whether Trump and Republicans will bring something new to the table in terms of a compromise — or refuse to budge on a long-held $5 billion number for wall funding.

Given a statement put out by White House press secretary Sarah Sanders on Tuesday, which reiterated Trump’s criticism of Pelosi’s plan, it’s looking more likely to be the latter.

“Speaker Designate Nancy Pelosi released a plan that will not re-open the government because it fails to secure the border and puts the needs of other countries above the needs of our own citizens,” Sanders said.

What is — and isn’t affected — by the shutdown

About 800,000 federal workers are affected by this shutdown, with roughly 380,000 who are currently furloughed from their roles and another 420,000 who are working without immediate pay.

These federal employees are expected to see the shutdown’s direct impact on January 11, the date of their next paycheck. This paycheck would cover the December 23 to January 5 pay period, which is the first to reflect the fallout from the partial government closure.

In the past, Congress has typically approved legislation that would cover back pay for employees who are working or furloughed during the shutdown, but in the interim, many are struggling to cover basic living costs like rent and credit card payments. The Office of Personnel Management did little to help matters in issuing guidance for federal employees that encouraged them to write letters to creditors about the current situation, including one it apparently posted accidentally that urged employees to consider offering practical services to landlords in lieu of rent.

Federal contractors are also expected to be disproportionately hit by this shutdown since many won’t see any form of back pay for the pay they’re missing out on.

Many of the services provided by the federal agencies affected by the shutdown — conservation of the National Parks and tax filing, for example — are also curtailed during this time. Mandatory programs like Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid are not affected, however. Below is a list of programs that are affected by the shutdown:

What and who will keep working

  • Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid
  • United States Postal Service
  • Veterans hospitals and benefits
  • Food stamps (the agency has limited funds, but the programs will continue operating in the short term)
  • Active-duty military
  • Border Patrol
  • Air traffic control and TSA

What will be closed or could see limited operations

  • National parks
  • Smithsonian museums and the National Zoo (Smithsonian had some extra funding to keep the museums and parks open until January 1, but now that funding has run out)
  • The IRS and tax refunds
  • State Department services (passports and visas will continue to be issued, though some services could be closed)
  • Environmental and food and drug inspections

Until Democrats and Republicans can come together on some kind of plan, the partial shutdown only seems like it’s going to drag on … and on.

Author: Li Zhou

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